Subtropical Storm Alberto 2018 Spaghetti Models

These are the latest computer models, also referred to as ‘spaghetti models’ for Subtropical Storm Alberto, the first named storm of the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

The most reliable Atlantic hurricane spaghetti models are in better agreement that Alberto will make landfall on the Florida panhandle. The landfall forecast ranges have narrowed to include Pensacola, Florida and Panama City, Florida.

The dynamical models are in much better agreement on Alberto’s track during the next 2 to 3 days, and the NHC track  (in red) has been been adjusted accordingly.

The new NHC track is slightly west of and slower than the previous track during the first 24 to 36 hours.