MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 8 a.m. EDT on Saturday, August 24, 2019, which predicts a 80% chance that Invest 99L 2019 will become a tropical cyclone in the Caribbean during the next five days.
Invest 99L is a an area of low pressure located about 950 miles east of the Windward Islands (marked with the lower red “X”).
Invest 99L 2019 Projected Path
NHC forecasters say that a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while it moves generally westward to west-northwestward near 15 mph.
Conditions appear less favorable for development when the low reaches the Lesser Antilles and eastern Caribbean Sea by the middle of next week.
Invest 99L has a 70% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 48 hours and a 80% chance within the next 5 days.
Invest 99L 2019 Computer Models
Spaghetti models are in agreement that Invest 99L will track west-northwesterly towards the Windward Islands.
However, the computer models begin to diverge greatly when Invest 99L reaches the Caribbean.
NOAA forecasts an ‘above-normal’ 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.