NOAA: Invest 94L 2019 Path Update, Spaghetti Models

MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Tuesday, September 10, 2019, due the presence of Invest 94L that may become a tropical cyclone over the Atlantic Ocean.

Invest 94L 2019 Projected Path

Invest 94L is a low pressure system associated with a tropical wave that is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms 900 miles east of the Lesser Antilles (marked with the middle yellow “X”).

According to the National Hurricane Center, gradual development of this system is possible while Invest 94L moves westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean.

The system could form into a tropical depression by the middle of the week.

If Invest 94L becomes a tropical storm, the next name on the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane names list is Tropical Storm Humberto.

Invest 94L has a 30% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next five days and a 30% chance within the next 48 hours.

Invest 94L 2019 Spaghetti Models

Invest 94L 2019 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models are in agreement that Invest 94L will track west across the tropical Atlantic towards the Windward Islands.

However, the computer models begin to diverge in both projected track and intensity after 24 hours before Invest 94L nears the Carribean.

The often reliable European hurricane model forecasts that Invest 94L will track to the northwest after 48 hours.

NOAA forecasts an ‘above-normal’ 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.