MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 8 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Friday, September 13, 2019, due to the presence of Invest 96L and two other systems that may become tropical cyclones over the Atlantic Ocean.
Invest 96L 2019 Projected Path
Invest 96L is a tropical wave located 1100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles that is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and showers (marked with the left yellow “X”).
NHC forecasters say that conditions are expected to become more conducive for development when Invest 96L moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea.
Invest 96L has a 30% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next five days and a 10% chance within the next 48 hours.
Invest 96L 2019 Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models are in agreement that Invest 96L will track west towards the eastern Caribbean.
Second Tropical Wave
The second system is another tropical wave located 600 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands (marked with the orange “X”).
According to the National Hurricane Center, gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic.
This second system has a 50% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next five days and a 10% chance within the next 48 hours.
The third system is an area of disturbed weather has developed between two tropical waves, about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands (marked with the right yellow “X”).
NHC forecasters say that this disturbance may merge with a tropical wave approaching from the east over the weekend.
However, some development of this system is possible through early next week as long as it remains distinct from the wave.
This third system has a 20% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next five days and a 10% chance within the next 48 hours.
If any of these systems become a tropical storm, the next name on the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane names list is Tropical Storm Imelda.
NOAA forecasts an ‘above-normal’ 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.