NOAA: Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry Path, Spaghetti Models

NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at 8 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, September 25, 2019, due to the presence of Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry over the Atlantic.

Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry Projected Path

Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry is located 155 miles west of Bermuda and is moving to the northeast at 7 mph (11 km/h).

A continued northeasterly motion is expected through today followed by a turn toward the east on Thursday.

On the National Hurricane Center forecast track, the center of Jerry is expected to pass near Bermuda later today.

Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry Computer Models

Tropical Storm Jerry Computer Models, Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models, including the European model (orange triangle) and GFS model (purple square), are in general agreement that Jerry will curve in a loop to the southeast over the open Atlantic.

The dynamical models indicate that Jerry will dissipate in about 4 days and the official NHC forecast track (red circle) does as well.

Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry Category Strength

Tropical Storm Jerry Winds

Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph (75 km/h), with higher gusts.

Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry is a tropical storm on the Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center of the tropical cyclone.

Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry Watches And Warnings

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bermuda.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 24 hours.

NOAA forecasts an ‘above-normal’ 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.