NOAA: Tropical Depression 9 Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

NOAA National Hurricane Center Tropical Depression 9 Projected Path

NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at 8 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Friday, September 13, 2019, due to the presence of Tropical Depression 9 (formerly Invest 95L) that is tracking towards east Central Florida.

Tropical Depression 9 Projected Path

Tropical Depression 9 is located 155 miles east-southeast of Great Abaco Island and is moving to the northwest at 8 mph (13 km/h).

This system is expected to turn toward the north-northwest is on Saturday, with a slower northward motion forecast to occur on Sunday.

On the National Hurricane Center forecast track, Tropical Depression 9 is anticipated to move very near the northwestern Bahamas tonight and Saturday, and east of the east coast of Florida during Saturday and Sunday.

Tropical Depression 9 Computer Models

Potential Tropical Cyclone 9 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models

There is still some spread among the computer models, with the GFS model closer to the Florida coast while the UKMET and European (ECMWF) models show a stronger cyclone farther offshore.

Spaghetti models continue to shift eastward, especially after 48 hours.

The new official NHC forecast track also shifted to the east.

Tropical Depression 9 Category Strength

Tropical Storm Humberto wind arrival time Florida

Tropical Depression 9 has maximum sustained winds of 30 mph (45 km/h), with higher gusts.

Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

T.D. 9 is forecast to become Tropical Storm Humberto on Saturday.

Tropical Depression 9 Watches and Warning

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the northwestern Bahamas excluding Andros Island.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Jupiter Inlet to Volusia-Flagler County line.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests along the east coast of Florida should monitor the progress of this system.