NOAA: Tropical Depression Cristobal Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

NOAA: Tropical Storm Cristobal Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at 11 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Monday, June 8, 2020, due to the presence of Tropical Depression Cristobal (formerly Tropical Storm Cristobal, Tropical Depression 3, and Invest 93L) which broke the record for the earliest third-named tropical storm in the history of the Atlantic Hurricane Basin.

Tropical Depression Cristobal Projected Path
NOAA National Hurricane Center Tropical Storm Cristobal 2020 Projected Path

Tropical Depression Cristobal is located 155 miles south of Little Rock, Arkansas, and is moving to the northwest at 15 mph (24 km/h).

NHC forecasters say that a turn toward the north is expected tonight, followed by a faster north-northeast motion Tuesday and Wednesday.

On the National Hurricane Center forecast track, the center of the tropical cyclone should move through northeastern Louisiana today, through Arkansas and eastern Missouri tonight and Tuesday, and reach Wisconsin and the western Great Lakes by Wednesday.

Tropical Storm Cristobal Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models are in tight agreement that the tropical cyclone will head northward across eastern Louisiana and southwestern Mississippi towards Arkansas.

The NHC track lies slightly to the east of the guidance envelope and the European model (ECMWF).

Tropical Depression Cristobal Category Strength

Tropical Depression Cristobal’s maximum sustained winds are 35 mph (55 km/h), with higher gusts.

According to the National Hurricane Center, additional weakening is expected through Tuesday. However, Cristobal is expected to strengthen some as it becomes an extratropical low Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Tropical Depression Cristobal Watches And Warnings

There are no watching or warnings in effect.

NOAA forecasts an ‘above-normal’ 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.