NOAA: Invest 98L 2020 Projected Path Off North Carolina, Spaghetti Models

MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2:00 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Monday, July 6, 2020, due to the presence of two systems that may form into tropical cyclones over the Atlantic Ocean within the next 5 days.

The first disturbance, named Invest 98L, is a low pressure system that has moved inland over southern Georgia (marked with an orange “X”).

The low is forecast to move northeastward, near the coast of the  Carolinas and the mid-Atlantic during the next few days.

NHC forecasters say that no development is expected while the low remains over land. However, some development will be possible if the system moves over water later this week.

Invest 98L has a 40% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a 10% chance within the next 48 hours.

Regardless of development, the low is forecast to produce locally heavy rainfall that could cause flash flooding across portions of the southeast U.S. during the next couple of days.

Invest 98L 2020 Computer Models

Invest 98L 2020 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models are in general agreement that Invest 98L will move over Georgia, South Carolina, and then exit North Carolina to the Atlantic Ocean where the system could strengthen.

The second system is a fast-moving tropical wave that continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles east of the Windward Islands (marked with a yellow “X”).

NHC forecasters say that this disturbance has not become any better organized today, and development is becoming unlikely.

The wave is forecast to move through the Lesser Antilles on Tuesday and could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds on some of
those islands.

This second system has a 10% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a 10% chance within the next 48 hours.

If either of these systems become tropical storms or hurricanes, the next names on the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Names List are Fay and Gonzalo.

Tropical Storm Eduardo 2020 Projected Path

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Eduardo continues to churn over the open Atlantic Ocean and poses no threat to land.

NOAA forecasts an ‘above-normal’ 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.