Categories: NOAA

Hurricane Danny Picks Up Speed, Projected Path Update

MIAMI, Florida — As of 5 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Saturday, August 22, 2015, NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida has issued a public advisory due to the presence of Hurricane Danny that has weakened to a Category 1 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

Hurricane Danny is located 570 miles east of the Leeward Islands and is moving to the west-northwest at 14 miles per hour. Danny now has maximum sustained winds of 75 miles per hour, with higher gusts.

According to the National Hurricane Center, Danny’s projected path is forecast to make a turn to the west tonight and continue in that direction through Monday. Hurricane Danny is forecast to become Tropical Storm Danny by Sunday and weaken further into a tropical depression by Thursday because the storm is now interacting with a dry air mass.

Data from a U.S. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicates that Danny continues to weaken. Hurricane-force winds only extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km).



TROPICAL STORM WATCH

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla, Saba and St. Eustatius, St. Maarten, Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the U. S. and British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of Danny. Additional watches or warnings may be required for portions of these areas tonight or Sunday.

SPAGHETTI MODELS

Spaghetti models are in general agreement that Hurricane Danny will continue on a west-northwesterly track towards the northern Puerto Rico and Dominican Republic coastlines through Tuesday. Most models forecast that Danny will pass over the southern Bahamas by Friday.

The spaghetti plots for Hurricane Danny have shifted more to the north each day during the last four days. If Hurricane Danny’s projected path continues more to the north, and the tropical cyclone actually misses the interaction with land masses in the eastern Caribbean, that could suddenly change both future storm track predictions and intensity models.


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