Categories: NOAA

Tropical Storm Danny Projected Path Update


MIAMI, Florida — As of 11 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Saturday, August 22, 2015, NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida has issued a public advisory due to the presence of Tropical Storm Danny.


Tropical Storm Danny is located 480 miles east of the Leeward Islands and is moving to the west at 15 miles per hour. Danny now has maximum sustained winds of 60 miles per hour, with higher gusts.

According to the National Hurricane Center, Danny’s projected path is forecast to continue to the west through Sunday night.

A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast on Monday. Tropical Storm Danny is forecast to weaken further into a tropical depression by Monday because the tropical cyclone is now interacting with a dry air mass.

Recent data from a U.S. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicates that Danny has weakened into a tropical storm. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center.



TROPICAL STORM WATCH

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla, Saba and St. Eustatius, St. Maarten, Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the U. S. and British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of Danny. Additional watches or warnings may be required for portions of these areas tonight or Sunday.



SPAGHETTI MODELS


Spaghetti models are in general agreement that Hurricane Danny will continue on a west-northwesterly track towards the northern Puerto Rico and Dominican Republic coastlines through Tuesday. Most models forecast that Danny will pass over the southern Bahamas by Friday.



The spaghetti plots for Hurricane Danny have shifted more to the northwest each day during the last four days. If Tropical Storm Danny’s projected path continues more towards the north, and the tropical cyclone actually misses the interaction with land masses in the eastern Caribbean, that could suddenly change both future storm track predictions and intensity models.


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