NOAA: 30% Chance Tropical Cyclone Forms Off Florida

MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 p.m. EDT on Thursday, August 22, 2019, that predicts a 30% chance of an area of disturbed weather becoming a tropical cyclone off the east coast of Florida during the next five days.

An area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure located over the northwestern Bahamas has become a little better organized since yesterday (marked with a yellow “X”).

The system is expected to move northwestward toward the Florida peninsula at 5 to 10 mph and then turn northeastward off the southeastern coast of the United States.

NOAA National Hurricane Center Tropical Cyclone Chance Off Florida

NHC forecasters say some slow development of this system is possible over the next several days at it moves toward the Florida peninsula.

The system has a 10% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 48 hours and a 30% chance within the next 5 days.

If  the system becomes a tropical storm, the next name on the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane names list is Tropical Storm Dorian.

NOAA forecasts an ‘above-normal’ 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.