Categories: Hurricane Hurricane Season 2019 National Hurricane Center NOAA Spaghetti Models Spaghetti Plots Tropical Cyclone

Hurricane Lorenzo 2019 Path Update UK

NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at 5 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Tuesday, October 1, 2019, due to Hurricane Lorenzo that is forecast to near Ireland and the northern UK by Friday morning as a post-tropical cyclone.

Hurricane Lorenzo Projected Path

Hurricane Lorenzo is located 630 miles (1010 km) southwest of Flores in the western Azores and is moving to the northeast at 22 mph (45 km/h).

The tropical cyclone should move in the same general direction but at a faster forward speed during the next few days.

On the NHC forecast track, the center of Lorenzo is expected to pass near the western Azores early on Wednesday.

Hurricane Lorenzo 2019 Spaghetti Models

The UKMET (blue line) and ECMWF European (orange line) computer models project an east-northeast track towards Ireland and the UK.

The official NHC forecast track (red line) leans toward the latest ECMWF solution, which continues to be on the southeast side of the track guidance envelope.

Hurricane Lorenzo Category Strength

Hurricane Lorenzo has maximum sustained winds of 100 mph (155 km/h), with higher gusts.

Lorenzo is a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center of the tropical cyclone.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km) from the center.

NHC forecasters say that only slow weakening is expected during the next 48 hours.

Lorenzo broke meteorological records when it became the easternmost and northernmost Category 5 Atlantic hurricane on record on September 29, 2019.

NOAA forecasts an ‘above-normal’ 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.

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