MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 8 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Thursday, October 15, 2020, due to the presence of Invest 93L 2020 that may form into a tropical cyclone over the Atlantic Ocean.
Invest 93L is a weak area of low pressure near the Lesser Antilles that has become less well defined since yesterday (marked with a yellow “X”).
NHC forecasters say that strong upper-level winds are expected to inhibit significant development while the system moves west-northwestward over the next couple of days.
Although development is no longer anticipated, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next few days.
If this system becomes a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Greek Alphabet Names List is Epsilon.
Invest 93L has a near 0% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a near 0% chance within the next 48 hours.
Spaghetti models are in general agreement that Invest 93L will track in a westerly direction near or over the Lesser Antilles, then south of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and Jamaica.
September 10 was the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season where tropical cyclone activity significantly increases. But hurricane season still remains at an increased level of activity through the first half of October, according to NOAA and the National Weather Service’s historical data.
NOAA and Colorado State University forecast an “extremely active” 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.