NOAA: Invest 97L 2022, Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

NOAA NHC Invest 97L 2022 Tropical Outlook

MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 1 p.m. Eastern Standard Time on Sunday, November 6, 2022, due to the presence of Invest 97L which may form into a subtropical or tropical cyclone over the Atlantic.

Invest 97L is a well-defined area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of Bermuda  (top red-shaded area).

NHC forecasters say that shower and thunderstorm activity has been attempting to redevelop closer to the center, and if these trends continue, a short-lived tropical depression or storm is likely to form later today while the system drifts slowly over the central Atlantic.

Invest 97L is forecast to turn northward and northeastward and merge with a strong cold front by the middle of next week, and further development is not expected beyond that time.

This system has a 70% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a 70% chance within the next 48 hours.

Invest 97L 2022 Computer Models

Spaghetti models are in general agreement that Invest 97L will move in a northwesterly direction and then make a turn towards the northeast over the open Atlantic.

Invest 97L 2022 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models
Invest 97L 2022 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models

September 10 was the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season when tropical cyclone activity significantly increases.

But hurricane season still remains at an increased level of activity through November, according to NOAA and the National Weather Service’s historical data.

Historical Atlantic Hurricane Activity By Date
Historical Atlantic Hurricane Activity By Date